シリコン対決：コンシューマー向けLLM推論における性能、効率、エコシステムの壁

The operational landscape of local Large Language Model (LLM) inference has shifted from lightweight models to datacenter-class weights exceeding 70B parameters, creating profound systems challenges for consumer hardware. This paper presents a systematic empirical analysis of the Nvidia and Apple Silicon ecosystems, specifically characterizing the distinct intra-architecture trade-offs required to deploy these massive models. On the Nvidia Blackwell architecture, we identify a critical "Backend Dichotomy" within the TensorRT-LLM stack: while the new NVFP4 quantization format delivers a 1.6x throughput advantage over optimized BF16 baselines (151 tokens/s vs. 92 tokens/s), realizing this performance requires navigating complex runtime constraints that trade startup latency for generation speed. Furthermore, we characterize the "VRAM Wall" for 70B+ models: on discrete GPUs, users face a destructive choice between aggressive quantization (e.g., Q2) that degrades model intelligence to fit in VRAM, or PCIe-bottlenecked CPU offloading, which reduces throughput by over 90% compared to full-GPU execution. Conversely, Apple's Unified Memory Architecture (UMA) circumvents these bottlenecks, enabling linear scaling for 80B parameter models at practical 4-bit precisions. This architectural divergence extends to operational sustainability, where Apple's SoC design demonstrates up to a 23x advantage in energy efficiency (tokens/joule). We conclude that for consumer-grade inference, the optimal hardware is defined by a complex interplay between compute density (Nvidia) and memory capacity (Apple), moderated by the significant "ecosystem friction" of proprietary quantization workflows.