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AIネイティブ・バイオテックに組織部門は必要か:AI創薬のためのカンパニー・ワールドモデルのベンチマーク
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- 人間の組織図を模倣したAIエージェント組織の代わりに、資産から価値への状態表現と遷移モデルに基づくカンパニー・ワールドモデルを提案した。
- 過去の公開情報に基づく45の意思決定ケースを用いたドライラボベンチマークを新たに構築し、異なるAI組織アーキテクチャの性能を比較検証した。
- 価値変換アーキテクチャが最も高い自動スコアを獲得し、静的な人間の組織図よりも共有された予測的資産価値の状態を主軸に据えるべきだと示された。
Abstract
AI-native biotechnology companies are often designed by copying human biotech org charts into agent roles. We argue for a different abstraction: a Company World Model, defined as a persistent asset-to-value state representation with transition models, explicit value functions, planning, and updating across scientific, regulatory, BD, commercial, financial, and execution constraints. We introduce a dry-lab benchmark for testing whether AI-agent organizations should mimic departments or operate around such a world model. The benchmark contains 45 retrospective public-information decision cases with strict time cutoffs, hidden outcomes, common schemas, automatic scoring, and blinded pairwise judging. We compare human-org-mimic, stronger human-org-mimic-plus, AI-native asset-centric, and AI-native value-conversion architectures. The value-conversion architecture is a prompt-level approximation of a Company World Model: a Live Asset Value Record updated by Deal, Approval, Revenue, and Investment Arbiter loops. Under a success function defined by external BD, regulatory approval and launch, and revenue discipline, it achieved the highest automatic value-conversion score and was strongly preferred over the original baselines by value-specific blinded judges. Stress tests narrowed the claim: a stronger human baseline remained competitive, and a neutral judge did not show robust value-conversion dominance. Codex-only mechanistic ablations suggest that Revenue Room, Deal Room, and Approval Room carry useful work under the target objective. The central finding is objective-sensitive: departments may remain useful governance views, but the core AI-native operating primitive should be a shared, predictive asset-to-value state rather than a static human org chart. The study is dry-lab only and does not establish real-world drug success, clinical benefit, or revenue prediction accuracy.
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