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Codexに見るエージェント型AIへの移行:大規模利用データ分析

原題: The Shift to Agentic AI: Evidence from Codex
著者: Drew Johnston, David Holtz, Alex Martin Richmond, Christopher Ong, Prasanna Tambe, Aaron Chatterji
公開日: 2026-06-25 | 分野: LLM AI cs.AI econ.GN 生産性 AIエージェント

※ 日本語タイトル・ポイントはAIによる自動生成です。正確な内容は原論文をご確認ください。

ポイント

  • Codexの利用データを分析し、ユーザーの代わりにタスクを実行するエージェント型AIの普及とその影響を調査した。
  • エージェント型AIの利用は急速に拡大しており、特にソフトウェア開発者以外や組織内での利用が顕著に増加している。
  • エージェント型AIの利用はワークフローの抜本的な変更、複雑なタスクの実行、そして生産性の劇的な向上をもたらしている。

Abstract

We analyze usage data from OpenAI's Codex tool to present large-scale evidence of how agentic AI technology, which can take actions on a user's behalf, changes how people work. We use an automated, privacy-protecting pipeline to contrast usage across three populations: external personal-account users, external organizational-account users, and workers within OpenAI. We find that agentic AI usage is growing rapidly: the number of active users has grown more than fivefold in the first half of 2026, with the most rapid increase occurring outside the initial audience of software developers. Uptake is uneven: within OpenAI, Codex usage is nearly universal and has largely replaced business usage of ChatGPT. We document a similar shift to agentic tooling outside OpenAI, particularly within organizations, although external adoption remains lower and more uneven. In addition to headline usage figures, we observe measures of sophistication, and find that a growing number of users have used Codex to change their workflows substantially. More than 10% of users manage three or more concurrent Codex agents at some point each week and that 26.6% use skills, which allow users to share instructions for complex workflows. Alongside these changes in usage practices, request complexity has increased: since the start of the year, the share of individual Codex users who submit at least one request for a task estimated to require more than eight hours for an experienced human to complete has increased nearly tenfold. Concurrently, output has grown rapidly -- in June 2026, the median OpenAI employee in a legal role generated 13 times more monthly output tokens across Codex and ChatGPT than they did in November 2025, while the median researcher generated more than 50 times as many. We conclude by discussing the implications of these patterns for productivity, job reorganization, and workforce restructuring.

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