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CEO-Bench:AIエージェントは長期的な戦略を遂行できるか?
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ポイント
- AIエージェントの長期的な不確実性下での情報収集・適応・目標達成能力を評価するCEO-Benchを開発した。
- CEO-Benchは、500日間のスタートアップ運営シミュレーションを通じて、現実世界でのAIエージェントの能力を測定する。
- 最先端モデルでも苦戦する中、一部のモデルは収益を上げたが、持続的な利益創出には課題が残った。
Abstract
Language model agents are becoming proficient executors at isolated, short-horizon tasks such as software engineering and customer service. Yet real-world challenges require a combination of sophisticated skills that remain largely untested in agents: (1) navigating long horizons amid uncertainty; (2) acquiring information in noisy environments; (3) adapting to a changing world; (4) orchestrating multiple moving parts toward a coherent goal. We introduce CEO-Bench, which evaluates these capabilities together by simulating a representative real-world task: operating a startup for 500 days. An agent manages pricing, marketing, budgeting, and many other aspects of a fictional company through a programmable Python interface, operating in the same environment and facing the same challenges as a human CEO. Success demands analyzing noisy, interconnected business databases, translating signals into sound strategy, and coordinating many decisions with programming. The strongest agents write sophisticated code that simulates customer cohorts to forecast future cash and mines negotiation history to uncover hidden customer preferences. Even so, most state-of-the-art models struggle in this environment. Only Claude Opus 4.8 and GPT-5.5 finish above the $1M starting balance, and neither consistently turns a profit. CEO-Bench takes a first step toward measuring the intelligence required to drive sustained, adaptive progress over time.
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