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エージェント市場の到来:AIエージェントが経済を動かす未来
※ 日本語タイトル・ポイントはAIによる自動生成です。正確な内容は原論文をご確認ください。
ポイント
- AIエージェントがタスク委任、予算管理、交渉を代行する市場システム「
- diagon」を構築し、その経済的影響を検証した。
- 異種エージェントがジョブ投稿から支払い、評価まで行う全サイクルを観察・操作可能にし、市場制度設計の要件を明確化する。
- 市場取引は自己完結型エージェントの3.2倍の富を生むが、透明性の確保や競争促進策が市場のパフォーマンスを低下させる場合があることを発見。
Abstract
AI agents are increasingly transacting on behalf of users -- delegating tasks, spending budgets, and negotiating with unfamiliar counterparties. From skill marketplaces to agent-only bazaars, the economic infrastructure of these emerging platforms is being built ad-hoc, yet early design choices tend to lock in; understanding what dynamics they produce is urgent. We present diagon, a programmable market system designed to inform the institutional design of near-future agent cognitive-labour markets. diagon is populated by heterogeneous tool-using agents, making the full cycle of job posting, bidding, negotiation, execution, payment, and reputation accumulation end-to-end observable and experimentally manipulable. We instantiate one market form to demonstrate diagon. We find that market exchange generates (3.2times) the wealth of self-sufficient agents, but these gains depend strongly on institutional structure; for example, interventions such as identity transparency and stronger competitive selection can degrade market performance rather than improve it. These findings highlight concrete design requirements for the economic infrastructure of the agent era. Code and data are available at https://github.com/assassin808/diagon.
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